With 2025 coming to an end, Donald Trump’s favorable approach to cryptocurrency has not proven to suffice to support the industry’s gains, once the source of broad optimism and enthusiasm. The final quarter of 2025 witnessed an estimated $1 trillion in market capitalization erased from the digital asset market, despite bitcoin hitting an all-time-high price of $126,000 on October 6th.
That record high proved temporary. Bitcoin’s price tumbled shortly afterward following an announcement of 100% tariffs against Chinese goods created turmoil throughout financial markets in mid-October. Digital asset markets experienced a staggering $19 billion wiped out within a day – a record-setting liquidation event ever documented. The second-largest crypto, Ethereum, endured a 40% drop in price in the subsequent weeks.
Crypto advocates got the supportive administration they were promised during the campaign. Shortly of taking office, an executive order was issued rolling back restrictions on digital assets while enacting business-friendly rules as well as a presidential working group focused on crypto.
“The digital asset industry is a vital component in innovation and economic growth nationally, as well as America's international leadership,” the order read.
Again in spring, the announcement of a cryptocurrency reserve fueled a significant market surge, with prices of select named coins jumping more than sixty percent. Bitcoin itself rose ten percent immediately following the news.
Digital assets is sensitive to market sentiment and confidence worldwide, said a leading analyst. It’s what is called a speculative investment, an investment which performs well when investors are feeling confident regarding economic conditions and are ready to assume greater risk.
“The administration may be pro-crypto, however, trade wars and rising interest rates outweigh positive vibes,” the analyst added. “This also serves as a stark reminder, especially for people in crypto, that broader economic factors really matter more than political stances.”
Later in the year, BTC suffered its biggest drop in price in several years, bringing the coin’s value to less than $81,000. Although bitcoin regained some of that value afterward, December began with another slump, a six percent fall following a leading corporate holder cutting its earnings forecast due to the slide in digital asset values. Its value now hovers near $90,000.
Some experts are concerned the industry may be heading into a so-called crypto winter, a period of low activity and declining prices. The previous such downturn persisted from late 2021 into 2023. Those years saw bitcoin slump approximately 70% in price.
“The recent crash does not reflect a shift in sentiment, but rather a confluence of several key issues: the aftershocks of a $19bn deleveraging event; investors fleeing risk spurred by geopolitical trade disputes; and, crucially, the potential unraveling of the corporate treasury trade,” explained a noted economist.
Another potential factor impacting the crypto market is the decline in values of artificial intelligence companies. “One of the reasons why bitcoin is tied to tech stocks is that many bitcoin miners have diversified their power into AI data centers,” an expert said. “That negative sentiment tends to sneak into crypto.”
Despite concerns over a crypto winter, notable players in the crypto space voiced optimism about the long-term value of the currency. One executive said “there was no chance” the price of bitcoin would go to zero and that 2025 will be remembered as the year “where digital assets transitioned from a fringe market to a well-lit establishment”. A separate noted increased investment from sovereign wealth funds.
Some believe this downturn is not inconsistent with past market cycles , adding that a deeply prolonged downturn is not a certainty.
“From the perspective of a traditional bitcoin cycle, we are currently in a bear market,” came the assessment. “But as you can see, even with all of these macros that are affecting the market, it has held to set a price well above eighty thousand dollars.”
Lena is a passionate gamer and tech writer, specializing in indie games and esports coverage.